relevant reports
Rate Lock Advisory – Wednesday Sep. 10th
Rate Lock Advisory – Wednesday Sep. 10th
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Wednesday’s bond market has opened in negative territory as investors sell holdings to capture profits from the recent rally. Stock gains are also contributing to the weakness in bonds with the Dow up 80 points and the Nasdaq up 12 points. The bond market is currently down 20/32, but we will likely see a slight improvement in mortgage rates due to strength in bonds late yesterday.
There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release today. Tomorrow brings us the the release of the first economic report of the week but it is not considered to be of high importance. July’s Goods and Services Trade Balance data will be posted tomorrow morning, giving us the size of the U.S. trade deficit. It is expected to show a deficit of approximately $58.0 billion, which would be an increase from June’s $56.8 billion. However, I would consider this the least important of this week’s releases, meaning it will likely have little impact on bond trading or mortgage rates. < br />
Also tomorrow is the release of weekly unemployment figures. The Labor Department is expected to show that 440,000 new claims for benefits were filed last week. A significantly higher or lower number may influence trading enough to affect mortgage rates. However, it is more likely that this release will have little impact on rates, especially with the important data that is scheduled for release Friday morning.
We will see three relevant reports posted Friday, two of which are very important to the markets. They are August’s Retail Sales report and Producer Price Index (PPI) and September’s University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment. This makes Friday the most important day of the week, meaning we may see plenty of movement in rates Friday.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would…. Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days… Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days… Float if my cl osing was taking place between 21 and 60 days… Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now… This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Daily Rate Lock Recommendation – 05/23/2008 12:20:00 PM EST
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Friday’s bond market has opened in positive territory as stocks react negatively to rising oil prices. The stock markets are showing sizable losses with the Dow down 111 points and the Nasdaq down 27 points. The bond market is currently up 14/32, which will likely improve this morning’s mortgage rates by approximately .1250 – .250 of a discount point.
The National Association of Realtors gave us today’s only semi-relevant economic news with the release of April’s Existing Home Sales report. It revealed a decline in sales, but not as much of a drop as expected. However, the data has not influenced bond trading enough to affect mortgage rates this morning.
The bond market will close at 2:00 PM today ahead of Monday’s Memorial Day Holiday and will remain closed until Tuesday morning. The stock markets will also be closed Monday. I don’t think that this will have an impact on this afternoon’s mortgage rates.
Next week brings us the releas e of several pieces of important economic data. There are relevant reports scheduled for release each of the four business days, so we will likely see some volatility in rates. Look for more details on next week’s events in Sunday’s weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would…. Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days… Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days… Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days… Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now… This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Daily Rate Lock Recommendation – 05/09/2008 12:39:00 PM EST
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Friday’s bond market has opened in positive territory following early stock weakness. The stock markets are showing losses with the Dow down 106 points and the Nasdaq down 8 points. The bond market is currently up 9/32, which should improve this morning’s mortgage rates by approximately .250 of a discount point.
March’s Goods and Services Trade Balance report was today’s only economic data on the calendar. It revealed a $58.2 billion trade deficit that was well below forecasts. However, this data is not considered to be of high importance to the bond market or mortgage rates and therefore has had little impact on the markets today.
This was a light week for economic releases, so I did not expect to see much fluctuation in the markets and mortgage rates. I still feel bond yields are at the upper end of a cycle and that stock prices have more room to fall. I am expecting stocks to move lower, making bonds more attractive to investors. This shou ld lead to funds shifting out of stocks and into bonds in the near future. Accordingly, I am holding the float recommendations for the time being.
Next week is busier in terms of economic reports than this week was. Generally speaking, it will be an average week with five relevant reports on tap. However, two of those are considered to be very important to the markets and mortgage rates. There is no relevant news scheduled for release Monday, but look for details on next week’s event in Sunday’s weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would…. Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days… Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days… Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days… Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now… This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best inter est of all/any other borrowers.
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